VintFalken.com

Second Life, can we rush to ‘Plateau of Productivity’, please?

August 14, 2007 1:44 pm

According to Neville Hobson (ft. Gartner) Second Life finds itself somewhere inbetween the ‘Peak of Inflated Expectations’ and ‘Through of Disillusionment’. Luckily after that comes the ‘Slope of Enlightenment’ - please, can we have a guillotine with that? - to end up on a ‘Plateau of Productivity’. So, let’s stop the whining and start planning what we’ll do on that ‘Plateau of Productivity’? :p

second life hype cycle by neville hobson
Graph by Neville Hobson too.

11 Responses to “Second Life, can we rush to ‘Plateau of Productivity’, please?”

veronique kaminski wrote a comment on August 15, 2007
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well.. according to the common media: have a lot of SLex and PRODUCE prim babys???

Sorry Vint; but in the light of the most popular topic on your blog lately, and seeing this graph on Hobsons page, it made me think of the human RLexual response cycle:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Plateau_phase#Plateau_phase

(or.. is it just me….???? lol )

Production only fills a void that it has itself created..
(John Kenneth Galbraith)

Dalien Talbot wrote a comment on August 16, 2007
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Veronique: without any particular reason I recall a quote from one of my RL av’s favourite writers - Bulgakov (The heart of a dog):

‘And what to say while you’re eating. Yes, my dear sir. If
you care about your digestion, my advice is - don’t talk about bolshevism or
medicine at table. And, God forbid - never read Soviet newspapers before
dinner.’

Your thought is interesting, although I’d be curious to hear also the explanation for the initial spike and the deep valley shortly afterwards, within the same context. :-) (otherwise such a timeline seems inconvenient, at best :-) (I do have some explanation, however, would be interesting to hear your opinion)

For me the association is much more straightforward - you can take a look here and judge yourself. But maybe it is just me. :-)

Vint Falken wrote a comment on August 16, 2007
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Well, my best guess would be that the spike is anticipation. Yet again, I could be wrong. :p

*lets Veronique and Dalien word-play further*

Dalien Talbot wrote a comment on August 16, 2007
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Vint: and then the dip is… ? :-) I will post my interpretation after Veronique explains how the hill and the pit fit her theory :-)

veronique kaminski wrote a comment on August 16, 2007
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@Dalien.. within the same context??? You asked for it..

well.. I guess the spike is the males excitement, followed by the females deception..

and to put a scaling to the timeframe: maybe the looong horizontal - plateau- at the end are the 3 minutes or so it takes to smoke a cigarette???

oh yes.. and a last one for the road.. cant help it.. I love this extract out of your association :

“Since all spikes of a given neuron look alike, the form of the action potential does not carry any information. Rather, it is the number and the timing of spikes which matter.”

lmpao

btw: why the quote? is it because of Galbraith? guess that many times he is misunderstood..

veronique kaminski wrote a comment on August 16, 2007
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*** females disillusion that is … ***

( or both :-p )

Dalien Talbot wrote a comment on August 17, 2007
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@Veronique: hmm. interesting. I did suspect you would get some kind of a sad story into the picture. And indeed, the dispersion in males’ characteristics is quite high. Sorry for that. :)

About the extract: yes. I can totally agree with that.

Ok, my interpretation was much more of a happy-end version. Add another graph of the same kind to the left of it, and you will see it. The excitement over the new technology has a successful adoption of the old technology.

And the quote - it was mostly about reading.

Vint Falken wrote a comment on August 17, 2007
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Hmmm. Can there be a happy ending when the end result is less then the most ‘high’ one?

And Veronique, and to put a scaling to the timeframe: maybe the looong horizontal - plateau- at the end are the 3 minutes or so it takes to smoke a cigarette??? => still LMAO =d

As for the spikes, I think they can still differ in quality. =)

Dalien Talbot wrote a comment on August 19, 2007
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I think there’s no such thing as “end result” :-) - just continuous series of discoveries…

Veronique Kaminski wrote a comment on August 24, 2007
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The “complete” Gartner graph..

question is: is SL a social network, a virtual world, or..??

http://tijdblogs.typepad.com/.shared/image.html?/photos/uncategorized/2007/08/22/original.jpg

Vint Falken wrote a comment on August 24, 2007
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Thank you, Véronique.

No ‘metaverse’ entry on that one? =)

Care to comment?